Evidence-Weighted Persona Transport
EWPT v0.1 is a transparent, versioned, experimental product method — not an established scientific standard. Its credibility must come from reproducibility and validation against outcomes.
Evidence statuses
- Observed Directly collected from a permitted source, with source, window and sample.
- Inferred Derived by analysis or a deterministic calculation from observed evidence.
- Scenario assumption A user-editable scenario input. Never presented as measured.
- Unavailable Not collected or not supported. Never displayed as zero.
Alignment
Business personas (b) and creator content themes (c) share five equally weighted dimensions: interests, motivations, occasions, value preferences and language. Missing dimensions widen a compatibility interval K ∈ [lo, hi] rather than counting as disagreement. Unknown mass is kept on both sides.
P = max Σ_i Σ_j T_ij × K_ij s.t. T_ij ≥ 0, Σ_j T_ij = b_i, Σ_i T_ij = c_j
Solved exactly for K_lo and K_hi. P is semantic alignment — not shared identities, follower overlap or conversion probability.
Match score
Match = 100 × P^0.4 × G^0.3 × A^0.2 × D^0.1
Weights are an initial local-business hypothesis, displayed and versioned. If any component is unmeasured, the report shows “Overall match: insufficient evidence” — no neutral defaults, no silent reweighting. Evidence strength is reported separately.
Quality gates (configuration)
- min usable reviews for shares … 30
- min supporting reviews per persona share … 10
- min posts in 30-day window … 6
- max score range for a precise headline … 12
- bootstrap resamples (review / post level) … 400
Conservative product rules, not proven sufficiency thresholds. Passing them does not remove selection bias.
Effective reach
Effective follower reach = F × r × g × p × a each factor conditional on the preceding stage
Multi-post campaigns deduplicate with an explicit independence assumption, 1 − (1 − r)^n. Match components are never substituted into the funnel.
Live data sources
- Open AIAgents Computer Use ProviderLive collection is not enabled in this prototype. Source terms and permitted use must be validated first.
- Instagram Professional ConnectionRequires the creator to authorize a professional account; fields verified per API version.
- Google Business Profile ConnectionRequires a verified location owner and validated storage/AI-processing permissions.
Computer use is not a workaround for source restrictions. Logins, CAPTCHAs and rate limits are never bypassed.